Labs
Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, derived from its whole price history.
Bitcoin
$85,813
-31.2% from the cycle top
Cycle position
44%
Through cycle 4
Next halving
555 days
2028-04-12, reward 1.5625
Since the top
364 days
Top 2025-10-06 at $126,272
Trend at end
$1,454,413
26.6% a year
No reversion
$876,835
21.4% a year
Blend
$1,129,283
24.0% a year
Horizon
12 years
To 2038-10-05
Twelve-year outlook
A decaying trend applied forward from today. A projection, not a forecast, and it says nothing about any month in particular.
0.0000311.2k622.3k933.5k1,244.7k
Oct 2026Oct 2032Oct 2038
Milestones
Where the decaying trend lands, year by year.
| Year | Trend | Market cap |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $186,536 | $3.7tn |
| 2029 | $302,901 | $6.1tn |
| 2031 | $461,748 | $9.3tn |
| 2033 | $670,128 | $13.5tn |
| 2035 | $934,442 | $18.8tn |
| 2037 | $1,263,302 | $25.4tn |
| 2038 | $1,454,413 | $29.2tn |