Labs
Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, derived from its whole price history.
Bitcoin
$84,137
-32.5% from the cycle top
Cycle position
43%
Through cycle 4
Next halving
565 days
2028-04-13, reward 1.5625
Since the top
355 days
Top 2025-10-06 at $126,272
Trend at end
$1,446,763
26.8% a year
No reversion
$860,187
21.4% a year
Blend
$1,115,566
24.0% a year
Horizon
12 years
To 2038-09-26
Twelve-year outlook
A decaying trend applied forward from today. A projection, not a forecast, and it says nothing about any month in particular.
0.0000310.7k621.3k932.0k1,242.6k
Sep 2026Sep 2032Sep 2038
Milestones
Where the decaying trend lands, year by year.
| Year | Trend | Market cap |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | $185,467 | $3.7tn |
| 2029 | $301,206 | $6.1tn |
| 2031 | $459,213 | $9.2tn |
| 2033 | $666,506 | $13.4tn |
| 2035 | $929,456 | $18.7tn |
| 2037 | $1,256,629 | $25.2tn |
| 2038 | $1,446,763 | $29.1tn |