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Our AI-driven analysis of Bitcoin’s cycles: the correlations between today’s market and every earlier year, cycle and bear market, with the measures and the macro data behind them.

Updated 7m ago

$73,664 price now -40.9% from the cycle's closing high 46% through cycle 4 517 days to the halving 402 days since the top Details

Back on the trend
$1,484,697

if the price climbs back to its long-term trend

Growth a year28.4%
In between
$1,055,718

halfway between the other two in growth a year

Growth a year24.8%
Stays under the trend
$750,685

if the price stays as far under the trend as today

Growth a year21.3%
Horizon
12 years

To 12 Nov 2038

Twelve-year outlook

Three ways of carrying the long-term trend forward from today's price, each ending at the figure in its tile above. A projection, not a forecast, and it says nothing about any month in particular.

0 $250k $500k $750k $1M $1.25M $1.5M Nov 2026 2030 2034 Nov 2038 Back on the trend $1,484,697 In between $1,055,718 Stays under the trend $750,685
Back on the trend, 28.4% a year In between, 24.8% a year Stays under the trend, 21.3% a year
Back on the trend, in 2038$1,484,697
In between, in 2038$1,055,718
Stays under the trend, in 2038$750,685
Top of the chart$1.5M

Milestones

Where the long-term trend lands, year by year, its growth slowing as it goes.

YearTrendMarket cap
2027 $190,855 $3.8tn
2029 $309,712 $6.2tn
2031 $471,886 $9.5tn
2033 $684,558 $13.8tn
2035 $954,252 $19.2tn
2037 $1,289,748 $25.9tn
2038 $1,484,697 $29.9tn
Risk warning Bitcoin and shares are volatile, and their prices can fall sharply and stay low for long periods. Read the full risk warning

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