T^

Labs

Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, derived from its whole price history.

Model run 5m ago
Bitcoin
$84,137

-32.5% from the cycle top

Cycle position
43%

Through cycle 4

Next halving
565 days

2028-04-13, reward 1.5625

Since the top
355 days

Top 2025-10-06 at $126,272

Bear markets

Every cycle pinned to its top and run forward, priced as a multiple of the top. It shows how far each drawdown went and how long it took.

Day 355
0.01880.36440.71001.06
0381761

Days since the top

Top Jun 2011Top Nov 2013Top Dec 2017Top Nov 2021Top Oct 2025

Where each drawdown stood at this point

The same number of days after its top.

CycleMultiple of topPrice
Top Jun 2011 — —
Top Nov 2013 — —
Top Dec 2017 — —
Top Nov 2021 — —
Top Oct 2025 — —

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