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Securities

S&P 500 Super Intelligence: automated S&P 500 trading in your own Alpaca account.

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Slide, tap an amount or type one: from $1,000, the minimum to join, to $1,000,000.

Slide to start in a later month: both lines restart from there and every figure is worked out again for that window. A later start takes the strategy's holdings as they stood that day. The membership fee is not included.

Your balance

Year Balance at the start At the end Gain Return

S&P 500 Super Intelligence vs holding
1.24x the value of holding

+162.0% since 4 Jan 2021 against +111.1% for holding the S&P 500 (IVV), total return

Strategy: Price +152.9% · Dividends +8.0% · T-bill interest +1.1% · Total +162.0%
Holding IVV: Price +103.5% · Dividends +7.6% · Total +111.1% · prices only 1.24x

$10,000 is $26,201 against $21,107 · at $766.67, close of 16 Oct

Average return per month
+1.49%

Since Jan 2021 · 45 of 69 months positive

Total return · prices only +1.44%

Growth a year +18.1% vs IVV held +13.8%
Worst fall -15.3% vs IVV held -24.5%
Last 12 months +9.2% vs IVV held +15.8%
Capital deployed 93% on average, every lot counted

IVV price

The S&P 500 fund the strategy trades (iShares Core S&P 500, IVV): its official daily close since January 2021, from Alpaca. Split adjusted, not adjusted for dividends. With the averages the strategy reads: the 30-day exponential average for its exit and the 20-day exponential average for its entry. The dashed lilac line is the account's growth over the same days as a multiple of its start (1x), on its own scale.

16 Oct
1x2.62x
324.02447.14570.26693.38816.50
Jan 2021Nov 2023Oct 2026
Daily closeExit: 30-day exponential averageEntry: 20-day exponential averageBalance growth, 1x at the start (own scale)

Performance, trailing 48 months

S&P 500 Super Intelligence's total return in each month as bars, the growth of its capital as the line over them, including this month to date: the price, the dividends and the T-bill interest together.

16 Oct
+104.6% over 48 months, this month to date +37.0% trailing 24 months +5.9% trailing 12 months best Nov 2023 +9.0% · worst Mar 2026 -6.4%
Nov 22: +5.6%Dec 22: -5.8%Jan 23: +6.2%Feb 23: -2.5%Mar 23: +3.5%Apr 23: +1.6%May 23: +0.4%Jun 23: +6.4%Jul 23: +3.2%Aug 23: -1.6%Sep 23: -4.7%Oct 23: -2.2%Nov 23: +9.0%Dec 23: +4.4%Jan 24: +1.6%Feb 24: +5.1%Mar 24: +3.2%Apr 24: -4.0%May 24: +4.9%Jun 24: +3.4%Jul 24: +1.1%Aug 24: +2.4%Sep 24: +2.0%Oct 24: -0.9%Nov 24: +5.8%Dec 24: -2.4%Jan 25: +2.6%Feb 25: -1.2%Mar 25: -5.7%Apr 25: +7.9%May 25: +5.0%Jun 25: +5.0%Jul 25: +2.2%Aug 25: +2.1%Sep 25: +3.4%Oct 25: +2.3%Nov 25: +0.2%Dec 25: 0.0%Jan 26: +1.4%Feb 26: -0.8%Mar 26: -6.4%Apr 26: +5.3%May 26: +5.2%Jun 26: -1.2%Jul 26: +0.2%Aug 26: +2.6%Sep 26: -0.4%Oct 26: +0.1%
-8%-3%+1%+6%+10%
11.4k15.4k19.5k23.6k27.6k
Nov 22Oct 24Oct 26
month upmonth downcapital

Capital is the account that follows every decision since January 2021, valued at each month's last daily close, with the dividends and Treasury-bill interest it received to date; the running month is valued at its latest daily close.

Performance against holding the S&P 500

Since January 2021 (5.8 years), month-end values and falls on daily closes, against the same money simply held in IVV, total return on both sides
Return a year
+18.1%

against +13.8% a year holding the S&P 500

Worst fall from a peak
-15.3%

IVV held fell 24.5%

Under its peak now
-2.0%

how far the record sits below its own best close

Risk-adjusted return
1.24

against 0.95 holding the S&P 500; higher is better

Months positive
45 of 69

best +9.9%, worst -9.0%

Capital deployed
93%

on average since the first buy; the rest waited in short-term Treasury bills, ready to buy the fall

Trades in profit
67%

6 of 9 closed · grid buys 75%, main holding 60%

Members, open result
-1.55%

on what members hold now, against what it cost · 1 member

Month-end values: the strategy's record at each month's last daily close with the dividends and Treasury-bill interest it received, and IVV held with its dividends on the same days (total return on both sides; the parts are below); the falls on every daily close, with the income received to date. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Return components

$10,000 since 4 Jan 2021: what the price made, then the dividends and the Treasury-bill interest, then the total, for S&P 500 Super Intelligence and for IVV simply held.

13 Oct
ComponentS&P 500 Super IntelligenceHolding IVV
Price+$15,295 +152.9%+$10,351 +103.5%
Dividends+$799.87 +8.0%+$755.99 +7.6%
T-bill interest+$105.98 +1.1%none, always invested
Total+$16,201 +162.0%+$11,107 +111.1%

In USD on the $10,000 start, and in per cent of it; the parts add up to the total. Dividends and interest are counted as received, not reinvested; a member's own account reinvests them, which compounds a little more. Dividends from Alpaca's corporate actions; the interest is what SGOV, the Treasury-bill fund the cash waits in, paid. Against holding: 1.24x in total, 1.24x on prices only.

Strategy record by month

The last twelve complete months of the account that started with $10,000 in January 2021 and follows every decision of S&P 500 Super Intelligence, valued at each month's last daily close with the dividends and T-bill interest received, and the month running now. Start and End are that account's value in each month, so they carry all its growth since January 2021, not only these months.

+8.2% over 12 months
MonthStartEndReturnBar
Oct 2026 to date $26,174 $26,201 +0.10%
Sep 2026 $26,284 $26,174 -0.42%
Aug 2026 $25,610 $26,284 +2.63%
Jul 2026 $25,563 $25,610 +0.18%
Jun 2026 $25,885 $25,563 -1.24%
May 2026 $24,612 $25,885 +5.17%
Apr 2026 $23,368 $24,612 +5.32%
Mar 2026 $24,956 $23,368 -6.36%
Feb 2026 $25,155 $24,956 -0.79%
Jan 2026 $24,800 $25,155 +1.43%
Dec 2025 $24,809 $24,800 -0.04%
Nov 2025 $24,751 $24,809 +0.23%
Oct 2025 $24,191 $24,751 +2.31%

7 of 12 of these months positive. Since January 2021: average +1.49% a month, median +2.06%, 45 of 69 months positive.

Strategy record by year

Each calendar year of S&P 500 Super Intelligence against IVV held through the same year, total return on both sides, each with the year's worst fall muted beneath, the average share of the capital deployed in the year, and the buys and sales in it.

Year Strategy IVV held Capital deployed Buys / sales
2026 to date +5.6%worst fall -8.6% +12.1%worst fall -8.8% 96% 1 / 1
2025 +25.6%worst fall -11.7% +16.8%worst fall -18.3% 93% 2 / 2
2024 +23.8%worst fall -8.2% +23.7%worst fall -8.2% 100% 0 / 0
2023 +25.2%worst fall -9.9% +25.0%worst fall -9.8% 100% 0 / 0
2022 -0.2%worst fall -15.3% -18.4%worst fall -24.5% 69% 6 / 6
2021 +27.7%worst fall -5.2% +27.7%worst fall -5.2% 100% 1 / 0

Returns from month-end values, the worst falls on every daily close, before tax. A year spent mostly out of the market is where the strategy falls less than IVV; a strong year for IVV is where holding can be ahead. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Bot health

The markers S&P 500 Super Intelligence keeps while it runs. Green is healthy, amber is watched, red needs attention.

12:05 UTC
Strategy job
Resting until the next New York trading day; last good pass 3 days ago
3 days ago
Market
Outside regular hours, 09:30 to 16:00 New York on weekdays
Closed
Daily check
Last session checked Fri 16 Oct, close 766.67
16 Oct
Failed passes
The last pass completed
0
Engine errors
No SPX failure in the engine log in the last hour
0
Members followed
Live: each member's orders rest in its own Alpaca account
1

Read from the strategy job's own state and log at the moment this page was built.

S&P 500 data & metrics

The S&P 500 through the fund the strategy trades, IVV: official daily closes from Alpaca.

16 Oct
Last close
$766.67 -1.10% on the day
Year to date
+11.9%
One year
+15.5%
52-week high close
$782.54 6 Oct 2026
52-week low close
$634.93 30 Mar 2026
From the 52-week high
-2.0%
History
2,713 sessions since 4 Jan 2016
About IVV and the S&P 500

One fund that holds about 500 of the largest US companies.

The S&P 500 is an index: a list of about 500 of the largest companies on the US stock market, each counted in proportion to its size. Together they make up roughly four fifths of the market's value, which is why it is the usual measure of how US shares are doing.

IVV is the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, a fund run by BlackRock, under its iShares name. It owns the shares of the companies in the index in the same proportions, so one share of IVV moves with the S&P 500 and collects its dividends. It is one of the largest funds in the world and trades on the stock exchange like any share, which is what lets the strategy buy and sell the whole index in a single order.

Fund
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF ticker IVV
Run by
BlackRock iShares
Fund size
$879.6 billion net assets, 16 October 2026
Shares in issue
1.15 billion 16 October 2026
Value behind one share
$766.76 net asset value, 16 October 2026
Companies held
505 15 October 2026
Tracks
S&P 500 Index large US companies
Price to earnings
29.3 15 October 2026
Dividend yield
1.1% last 12 months, 30 September 2026
Dividends
Quarterly paid in cash to the holder
Yearly cost of the fund
0.03% taken inside the fund's price
Launched
15 May 2000 listed on NYSE Arca

Fund figures from iShares, read several times a day; each carries the date the fund gives it (the fund publishes once a trading day, some figures monthly). THISTLE.CAPITAL is not connected with BlackRock, iShares or S&P Dow Jones Indices.

Performance by year

S&P 500 Super Intelligence's total return in each calendar year, and beneath it, muted, the year's worst fall: the deepest drop from a high during that year, on daily closes. The running year is to date.

2021 +27.7% worst fall -5.2% 2022 -0.2% worst fall -15.3% 2023 +25.2% worst fall -9.9% 2024 +23.8% worst fall -8.2% 2025 +25.6% worst fall -11.7% 2026 to date +5.6% worst fall -8.6%

Performance by month

S&P 500 Super Intelligence's total return in each month since January 2021: average +1.49% a month, median +2.06%, 45 of 69 months positive. The running month is to date.

Return by month (%)

The dashed cell is the month still running. The last column is the year.

Source: Alpaca's daily bars for IVV (the consolidated tape's official close, split adjusted), kept current by the strategy after every session. The monthly record is the account that follows every decision since January 2021, valued at each month's last daily close, with the dividends and Treasury-bill interest it received to date (total return); the running month is valued at its latest close.

Trade record

The strategy's record since January 2021, newest first: every decision S&P 500 Super Intelligence has made. Members trade the same decisions in their own Alpaca account, at their own balance.

10 trades
Trades Count In profit Average By size
All closed 9 6 (66.7%) +9.81% +11.52%
Core sold 5 3 (60.0%) +12.71% +16.75%
Grid lots sold at their target 3 3 (100.0%) +8.70% +8.70%
Grid lots sold with the core 1 0 (0.0%) -1.38% -1.38%
Open now 1 1 (100.0%) +12.02% +12.02%
# Position Capital
deployed
Symbol Bought Sold Result How it ended Held
10 Core buy 100% 100%
100% in total
IVV
684.42
10 Apr 2026
Running
766.69
price now
+12.02%
so far
open 6.3 months so far
9 Core buy 100% 100%
100% in total
IVV
567.37
2 May 2025
Core sale
642.98
30 Mar 2026
+13.33%
gain
Sold on exit 10.9 months
8 Grid #1 buy 100% 100%
100% in total
IVV
517.03
4 Apr 2025
Grid #1 sale
561.99
1 May 2025
+8.70%
gain
Sold at target 27 days
7 Core buy 100% 100%
100% in total
IVV
383.21
26 Oct 2022
Core sale
561.99
11 Mar 2025
+46.65%
gain
Sold on exit 28.5 months
6 Grid #1 buy 100% 100%
100% in total
IVV
349.70
13 Oct 2022
Grid #1 sale
380.11
24 Oct 2022
+8.70%
gain
Sold at target 11 days
5 Core buy 7.97% 7.97%
100% in total
IVV
400.99
22 Jul 2022
Core sale
380.11
22 Sep 2022
-5.21%
loss
Sold on exit 2.0 months
4 Grid #1 buy 100% 100%
100% in total
IVV
385.42
13 Jun 2022
Grid #1 sold with core
380.11
22 Sep 2022
-1.38%
loss
Sold on exit 3.3 months
3 Grid #1 buy 100% 100%
100% in total
IVV
385.42
20 May 2022
Grid #1 sale
418.94
2 Jun 2022
+8.70%
gain
Sold at target 13 days
2 Core buy 100% 100%
100% in total
IVV
447.72
21 Mar 2022
Core sale
418.94
27 Apr 2022
-6.43%
loss
Sold on exit 37 days
1 Core buy 100% 100%
100% in total
IVV
376.69
4 Jan 2021
Core sale
433.95
24 Jan 2022
+15.20%
gain
Sold on exit 12.6 months
#10 Core buy 100% +12.02% so far
684.42 766.69 now Running
10 Apr 2026 held 6.3 months so far
IVV · not sold yet 100% of capital, 100% in total
#9 Core buy 100% +13.33% gain
567.37 642.98 Sold on exit
2 May 2025 to 30 Mar 2026 10.9 months
IVV · Core sale 100% of capital, 100% in total
#8 Grid #1 buy 100% +8.70% gain
517.03 561.99 Sold at target
4 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025 27 days
IVV · Grid #1 sale 100% of capital, 100% in total
#7 Core buy 100% +46.65% gain
383.21 561.99 Sold on exit
26 Oct 2022 to 11 Mar 2025 28.5 months
IVV · Core sale 100% of capital, 100% in total
#6 Grid #1 buy 100% +8.70% gain
349.70 380.11 Sold at target
13 Oct 2022 to 24 Oct 2022 11 days
IVV · Grid #1 sale 100% of capital, 100% in total
#5 Core buy 7.97% -5.21% loss
400.99 380.11 Sold on exit
22 Jul 2022 to 22 Sep 2022 2.0 months
IVV · Core sale 7.97% of capital, 100% in total
#4 Grid #1 buy 100% -1.38% loss
385.42 380.11 Sold on exit
13 Jun 2022 to 22 Sep 2022 3.3 months
IVV · Grid #1 sold with core 100% of capital, 100% in total
#3 Grid #1 buy 100% +8.70% gain
385.42 418.94 Sold at target
20 May 2022 to 2 Jun 2022 13 days
IVV · Grid #1 sale 100% of capital, 100% in total
#2 Core buy 100% -6.43% loss
447.72 418.94 Sold on exit
21 Mar 2022 to 27 Apr 2022 37 days
IVV · Core sale 100% of capital, 100% in total
#1 Core buy 100% +15.20% gain
376.69 433.95 Sold on exit
4 Jan 2021 to 24 Jan 2022 12.6 months
IVV · Core sale 100% of capital, 100% in total

Prices are in US dollars, per share of IVV. A closed trade's result is its sale against its buy; an open trade's is the price now against its buy. Grid lots still held when the trend comes back stay open beside the core buy, which spends the cash they left: they are sold with it at the exit, each with its own result. Fills in each member's account can differ slightly from these prices; your Alpaca statement is the record of your own trades.

Supported brokers

Where S&P 500 Super Intelligence trades: your own Alpaca account.

Broker
Alpaca Open account

You connect your own Alpaca account with its API keys. Alpaca keys have no permission settings, so keep yours private; the system only places and cancels orders, and your money stays in your own account.

How S&P 500 Super Intelligence trades

One market, the S&P 500 through an index fund, one set of rules, and every connected Alpaca account trading them at its own balance.

Live
  1. Holds the index fund while the market is strong. In an established uptrend the whole balance sits in an S&P 500 index fund.
  2. Steps aside when the trend turns. When its signals say the uptrend is over, the holding is sold and the cash waits in short-term US Treasury bills. The sale can be below its buy price.
  3. Buys one deep grid lot. After a sale the cash waits in Treasury bills for a single buy well under the sale price, and that buy is sold back at the sale price.
  4. Returns in full when the trend is back. Once the market has turned up again, everything goes back into the index fund and the cycle starts over.
  5. No leverage, no borrowing, no shorting. A cash account is all it needs, and no stop loss: a fall is met with buying.
  6. Members copy it at their own balance. The same decision is placed in every connected Alpaca account, sized from that account's own cash and shares.

How it works

From joining to S&P 500 Super Intelligence trading your balance.

  1. Subscribe or own an NFT. Subscribe for $50 a month, or own a Fungibles NFT for lifetime access. The same membership covers Bitcoin and the S&P 500.
  2. Sign in. With the link we email you, or with MetaMask if you hold an NFT.
  3. Open an Alpaca account. S&P 500 Super Intelligence trades in your own live account at Alpaca, a US broker. A cash account is enough.
  4. Add your Alpaca keys. In your account here, choose Alpaca and paste the API Key ID and the Secret Key from your live Alpaca account. No passphrase and no address list: Alpaca keys cannot be limited to addresses, so keep yours private.
  5. Keep cash in the account. The system buys the index fund with the cash in your account and sells it back to cash; between the two the cash can wait in Treasury bills. Your position grows with your account.
  6. Minimum 1,000 USD: below that the system trades as if 1,000, each order capped at the cash available. Smaller orders buy fractions of a share.
  7. Transparency and safety. Your money stays in your own Alpaca account. The system places and cancels orders there and never moves money in or out.

Risk warning

Shares can fall sharply and stay low for long periods. S&P 500 Super Intelligence trades an S&P 500 index fund (IVV) in your own brokerage account, and holds a short-term US Treasury bill fund (SGOV) while it is out of the market: no leverage, no borrowing, no short selling and no options. It places no stop-loss orders, so while it holds the fund your balance falls with the market and you may lose a large part of your funds. Funds held at a broker also carry that broker's own risks, including outages, account restrictions and insolvency. Past performance shown on this site comes from a historical replay of the strategy since 1 January 2021 and is not a reliable indicator of future results. Nothing on this site is investment advice. Trade only with money you can afford to lose. By using any Thistle^ service you accept our Terms and Privacy Policy, and you are responsible for all losses in your account.

Thistle^ services are not available where their use would require a licence we do not hold or would be a regulated activity. We do not serve users based in or affiliated to the USA.