Performance
Both strategies' records since January 2021. Choose a starting balance and see what it would be worth today.
+836.3% since 1 Jan 2021 against +180.7% for holding Bitcoin · $1,000 is $9,363 against $2,807 · at $81,239, 0s ago
+164.2% since 4 Jan 2021 against +112.8% for holding the S&P 500 (IVV), total return · $10,000 is $26,418 against $21,281 · at $773.25, close of 27 Oct
Strategy: price +155.1%, dividends +8.0%, T-bill interest +1.1%, total +164.2% · Holding IVV: price +105.3%, dividends +7.6%, total +112.8% · prices only 1.24x
The record in detail
Year by year against holding, month by month, the falls, what was held, and every 12-month period to each month endAnnual return (%)
Against holding: how much more the account is worth than the same money left in Bitcoin from the same day. The worst fall is the deepest drop of the account from an earlier high, on daily closes.
Return by month (%)
How the months are spread (months in each 5-point band)
The heat map shows every month; this shows their shape. Fewer deep months is the strategy's whole argument: the same bands, the strategy's months in cyan and holding's in grey.
Falls and recoveries (% under the previous high)
What it held (% of the account, by day)
Any 12 months: the strategy against holding (% made over the 12 months to each month)
If you had started in ...
What $1,000 became by 28 Oct 2026, from each JanuaryBitcoin Bitcoin Super Intelligence
$1,000 put in on the first close of each year and left to the strategy, against the same $1,000 simply held in Bitcoin; the worst fall is the strategy's deepest drop from a high after that start, on daily closes.
| Started | With the strategy | Holding Bitcoin | Worst fall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2020 (5.8 y) | $9,363 | $2,807 | -44.7% |
| January 2021 (5.8 y) | $9,240 | $2,770 | -44.7% |
| January 2022 (4.8 y) | $4,782 | $1,702 | -31.4% |
| January 2023 (3.8 y) | $5,781 | $4,889 | -31.4% |
| January 2024 (2.8 y) | $2,509 | $1,839 | -31.4% |
| January 2025 (1.8 y) | $1,153 | $859.00 | -31.4% |
| January 2026 (0.8 y) | $1,039 | $914.00 | -14.2% |
From the record's daily closes; a late start is measured from the first close on or after 1 January. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
S&P 500 S&P 500 Super Intelligence
$1,000 put in on the first close of each year and left to the strategy, against the same $1,000 simply held in the S&P 500; the worst fall is the strategy's deepest drop from a high after that start, on daily closes.
| Started | With the strategy | Holding the S&P 500 | Worst fall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2021 (5.8 y) | $2,642 | $2,128 | -15.3% |
| January 2022 (4.8 y) | $2,057 | $1,657 | -15.3% |
| January 2023 (3.8 y) | $2,083 | $2,050 | -11.7% |
| January 2024 (2.8 y) | $1,666 | $1,642 | -11.7% |
| January 2025 (1.8 y) | $1,341 | $1,323 | -11.7% |
| January 2026 (0.8 y) | $1,063 | $1,128 | -8.6% |
From the record's daily closes; a late start is measured from the first close on or after 1 January. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Your own start
Pick a balance and the month you would have startedSimulate your balance
Pick a strategy and a starting balance: the chart, the figures and the year by year table follow it as you slide.
Slide, tap an amount or type one: from $1,000, the minimum to join, to $1,000,000.
Slide to start in a later month: both lines restart from there and every figure is worked out again for that window. A later start takes the strategy's holdings as they stood that day. The membership fee is not included.
| Year | Balance at the start | At the end | Gain | Return |
|---|
How each strategy trades, its open position and its full trade record: Bitcoin Super Intelligence · S&P 500 Super Intelligence.