T^ Thistle

Performance

Both strategies' records since January 2021. Choose a starting balance and see what it would be worth today.

Bitcoin Super Intelligence Live 3.34x the value of holding Bitcoin since Jan 2021 Open the Bitcoin page →

+821.0% since 1 Jan 2021 against +176.1% for holding Bitcoin · $1,000 is $9,210 against $2,761 · at $79,911, 1s ago

Growth a year +46.5% vs Bitcoin held +19.1%
Worst fall -44.8% vs Bitcoin held -76.6%
12 months to 30 Sep -0.8% vs Bitcoin held -26.7%
Capital deployed 69% on average, every lot counted
S&P 500 Super Intelligence Live 1.24x the value of holding IVV since Jan 2021 Open the S&P 500 page →

+162.6% since 4 Jan 2021 against +111.6% for holding the S&P 500 (IVV), total return · $10,000 is $26,264 against $21,158 · at $768.60, 1m ago
Strategy: price +153.6%, dividends +8.0%, T-bill interest +1.1%, total +162.6% · Holding IVV: price +104.0%, dividends +7.6%, total +111.6% · prices only 1.24x

Growth a year +18.1% vs IVV held +13.8%
Worst fall -15.3% vs IVV held -24.5%
12 months to 30 Sep +8.2% vs IVV held +14.8%
Capital deployed 93% on average, every lot counted

The record in detail

Year by year against holding, month by month, the falls, what was held, and every 12-month period to each month end

Annual return (%)

StrategyBitcoin held
Against holding Bitcoin


Growth a year since January 2021
vs Bitcoin held

Worst fall, daily closes
vs Bitcoin held
Longest time under a high
Under its high now

Against holding: how much more the account is worth than the same money left in Bitcoin from the same day. The worst fall is the deepest drop of the account from an earlier high, on daily closes.

Return by month (%)

The dashed cell is the month still running. The last column is the year.

Falls and recoveries (% under the previous high)

StrategyBitcoin held

What it held (% of the account, by day)

Main holdingGrid lotsCash

Any 12 months: the strategy against holding (% made over the 12 months to each month)

StrategyBitcoin heldStrategy aheadHolding ahead
Each point is what you would have made over the 12 months to the end of that month: the strategy in cyan, holding Bitcoin in grey, the space between shaded by whichever did better. A lead of 10 points means, for example, +30% against +20%. Neighbouring points share 11 of their 12 months, so read the chart as a whole: how often a year with the strategy beat a year of simply holding, whichever month it started.

Your own start

Pick a balance and the month you would have started

Simulate your balance

Pick a strategy and a starting balance: the chart, the figures and the year by year table follow it as you slide.

Slide, tap an amount or type one: from $1,000, the minimum to join, to $1,000,000.

Slide to start in a later month: both lines restart from there and every figure is worked out again for that window. A later start takes the strategy's holdings as they stood that day. The membership fee is not included.

Your balance

Year Balance at the start At the end Gain Return

How each strategy trades, its open position and its full trade record: Bitcoin Super Intelligence · S&P 500 Super Intelligence.

Risk warning

Bitcoin and shares are volatile, and their prices can fall sharply and stay low for long periods. Bitcoin Super Intelligence trades spot bitcoin against USDC in your own exchange account, and S&P 500 Super Intelligence trades an S&P 500 index fund (IVV) in your own brokerage account: no leverage, no borrowing, no short selling, no futures and no options. Neither places stop-loss orders, so while a strategy holds its market your balance falls with the price and you may lose a large part of your funds. Funds held at an exchange or a broker also carry that venue's own risks, including outages, account restrictions and insolvency. Past performance shown on this site comes from a historical replay of each strategy since 1 January 2021 and is not a reliable indicator of future results. Nothing on this site is investment advice. Trade only with money you can afford to lose. By using any Thistle^ service you accept our Terms and Privacy Policy, and you are responsible for all losses in your account.

Thistle^ services are not available where their use would require a licence we do not hold or would be a regulated activity. We do not serve users based in or affiliated to the USA.